Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 313.506932 356.272516 404.225662 462.263587 530.981860 610.214878 709.154515
2025-01-19 238.651512 290.754980 354.535863 439.387299 550.879855 694.629987 897.742243
2025-01-26 213.562494 272.824663 349.908378 459.618974 615.284970 833.892089 1174.769592
2025-02-02 198.414512 263.508483 352.544362 486.735160 690.302887 998.938208 1526.350105
2025-02-09 179.368745 245.472337 339.508711 487.845289 725.449496 1109.455706 1819.500671
2025-02-16 160.658850 225.228067 320.045072 475.320830 735.615878 1179.894518 2060.277455
2025-02-23 145.997154 209.083166 304.379745 465.807322 747.939758 1254.683297 2327.696672
2025-03-02 138.277868 202.451736 302.294639 477.575998 797.944409 1406.367162 2794.226524
2025-03-09 129.196703 192.690047 293.962607 477.260127 825.525464 1520.296221 3215.638955
2025-03-16 119.477443 180.964866 281.103850 467.091405 832.415651 1593.163679 3564.561651
2025-03-23 112.903817 173.754062 275.022184 468.265934 861.467311 1718.995763 4093.496668
2025-03-30 105.320129 164.210943 263.977491 458.680927 866.758740 1792.491626 4508.367351
2025-04-06 99.341747 157.103684 256.879337 456.483557 888.872544 1914.461121 5131.390797
2025-04-13 91.015782 145.357069 240.500585 434.167023 863.599267 1915.229223 5379.275244
2025-04-20 89.266029 144.966131 244.767537 454.082497 937.497872 2190.237136 6700.255841
2025-04-27 88.409069 146.062455 251.859244 480.793506 1032.848950 2553.843101 8602.723329
2025-05-04 84.542745 141.355776 247.366505 481.886758 1065.165123 2745.601810 9948.345489
2025-05-11 79.517867 134.147085 237.366821 469.550876 1060.779703 2823.933556 10842.681468
2025-05-18 75.226917 128.038770 229.076355 460.179822 1062.827470 2924.604339 11932.990000
2025-05-25 73.392165 126.468948 229.798876 471.772176 1124.494066 3246.444545 14502.732977
2025-06-01 70.528416 122.716188 225.717618 471.461050 1152.575191 3460.657689 16686.293623
2025-06-08 66.983268 117.413052 217.996049 461.444717 1150.579416 3563.455493 18278.351240
2025-06-15 64.676269 114.413841 214.921036 462.601684 1182.619406 3811.202560 21205.877960